中國—澳大利亞旅游與貿易互動關系研究
發布時間：2018-10-26 18:44
【摘要】：在"海上絲綢之路"建設與"中澳自由貿易協定"簽署的契機下,中國對澳大利亞"旅游外交"作用彰顯,研究兩國旅游與貿易關系對雙邊政治經濟合作的進一步發展具有重要意義。在剖析旅游與貿易關系的基礎上,選取1995—2014年中澳兩國進出口貿易與出境旅游數據,采用計量經濟學方法實證兩國旅游與貿易之間的互動關系。結果表明:兩國的進口貿易是出境旅游的格蘭杰原因,出境旅游是出口貿易的格蘭杰原因。脈沖響應分析結果顯示,無論在當前或長期兩國旅游與貿易都會呈現相互影響。從宏觀層面而言,旅游偏愛度與入境客流量占比對兩國貿易依存度均產生正向影響,證實了中澳兩國旅游與貿易之間的互動關系,對兩國進一步深化貿易合作,制定相關旅游政策具有一定的參考價值。
[Abstract]:Under the opportunity of the construction of the "Maritime Silk Road" and the signing of the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement, China's role in Australia's "tourism diplomacy" has been highlighted. The study of tourism and trade relations between the two countries is of great significance to the further development of bilateral political and economic cooperation. On the basis of analyzing the relationship between tourism and trade, this paper selects the data of import and export trade and outbound tourism between China and Australia from 1995 to 2014, and uses econometric method to demonstrate the interaction between tourism and trade between the two countries. The results show that the import trade between the two countries is the Granger cause of outbound tourism, and outbound tourism is the Granger reason of export trade. The results of impulse response analysis show that tourism and trade between the two countries interact with each other both in the present and in the long term. At the macro level, tourism preference and the proportion of inbound passengers have a positive impact on the degree of trade dependence between the two countries, which confirms the interaction between tourism and trade between China and Australia, and further deepens trade cooperation between the two countries. It has certain reference value to formulate the related tourism policy.
【作者單位】： 陜西師范大學旅游與環境學院;
【基金】：陜西省軟科學研究計劃項目“‘一帶一路’背景下陜西對中亞五國直接投資的區域和產業選擇研究”(編號:2016KRM035) 2011年度教育部人文社會科學研究西部和邊疆地區基金項目(編號:11XJAZH001)
【分類號】：F592;F596.11
本文編號：2296632
[Abstract]:Under the opportunity of the construction of the "Maritime Silk Road" and the signing of the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement, China's role in Australia's "tourism diplomacy" has been highlighted. The study of tourism and trade relations between the two countries is of great significance to the further development of bilateral political and economic cooperation. On the basis of analyzing the relationship between tourism and trade, this paper selects the data of import and export trade and outbound tourism between China and Australia from 1995 to 2014, and uses econometric method to demonstrate the interaction between tourism and trade between the two countries. The results show that the import trade between the two countries is the Granger cause of outbound tourism, and outbound tourism is the Granger reason of export trade. The results of impulse response analysis show that tourism and trade between the two countries interact with each other both in the present and in the long term. At the macro level, tourism preference and the proportion of inbound passengers have a positive impact on the degree of trade dependence between the two countries, which confirms the interaction between tourism and trade between China and Australia, and further deepens trade cooperation between the two countries. It has certain reference value to formulate the related tourism policy.
【作者單位】： 陜西師范大學旅游與環境學院;
【基金】：陜西省軟科學研究計劃項目“‘一帶一路’背景下陜西對中亞五國直接投資的區域和產業選擇研究”(編號:2016KRM035) 2011年度教育部人文社會科學研究西部和邊疆地區基金項目(編號:11XJAZH001)
【分類號】：F592;F596.11
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